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Oregon Football

Tale of the Tape: Offense

November 14, 2017
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The Ducks and Cats will tangle on Saturday late afternoon/early evening. Or dinner time for those over the age of 60 and hitting the buffet lines early.

Hey no judgement here, I do it myself some times when the kids have games and other events.

In any event, Oregon and Arizona will tangle this weekend. Vegas has apparently decided for some reason the Ducks are 'as good' as a red hot Arizona offensive squad led by Khalil Tate. Either they think Oregon can run the ball and keep themselves in the game or Sir Justin Herbert will be back this week.

I'm going to presume a bit of both but moreso the latter. As such I'm going to compare the two groups assuming Justin Herbert resumes his starting role for Oregon.

Here we go.

Quarterback

Justin Herbert vs Khalil Tate. Perhaps two of the best quarterbacks in the country, let alone in the Pac-12 conference. 

I'll assume some rust on Herbert's part simply because practice is not the same as a game. No matter how many reps with the 1's he's taken the past few weeks, there will be rust.

Still if I were comparing this group between Burmeister and Tate, it's a clear 2-point advantage for Arizona. But even a rusty Herbert will be a 1-point underdog compared to a red-hot Tate.

Arizona +1

Running Back

Arizona does not run the ball much or all that well. The backs are capable of exploiting a big play, but most of those opportunities come with the defense focusing on stopping Tate.

Oregon has a talented backfield and Royce Freeman is coming back from a week off which should have him 100-percent.

This one is an easy advantage for Oregon.

Oregon +2

Wide Receiver

Neither team has a game-breaker. There is no Dante Pettis or N'Keal Harry on the field Saturday night.

Oregon should be healthy headed into this contest which will be a big key for Justin Herbert.

I imagine we will see a resurgence at this position for Oregon with Herbert able to throw a ball.

Even

Tight End

This position is siilar to the receiver group. Neither team has a game-breaker although Oregon has two very good blocking tight ends. They don't catch a ton of balls, however  Herbert does have a tendency to look Breeland's direction.

I'm still not giving anyone the advantage in this group.

Even

Offensive Line

This one is a no-brainer for me. The Ducks offensive line can blow a hole open even against a stacked box.

They should have no problem doing that this weekend against Arizona who has had trouble stopping the run. That said I'm sure Zona will try and limit the big run plays from Oregon. If they do that and we do in fact see Justin Herbert out there, that could open things up vertically for Oregon.

I think Oregon has a better group overall, but Arizona is effective opening up lanes for Tate to exploit.

Oregon +1

Conclusion

Somehow I've come up with a +2 advantage for Oregon overall despite the two very different offenses the past few weeks. In large part that is because I do believe Justin Herbert will be back this weekend.

The two contrasting styles will be very unique to watch on Saturday. 

If Oregon can exploit some vertical lanes this one could be a real boat-race. 

I still think overall Oregon has more talent on offense, but Arizona brings it a lot closer with perhaps the most explosive player on the field.

 
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